Hoffenheim play Bayern Munich in Round 11 of this season’s Bundesliga games.
The match is scheduled to start at 1:30 p.m. GMT on Saturday, 22 October 2022. The match venue is PreZero Arena, Sinsheim.
Latest odds on betting sites
Hoffenheim to win odds are priced at 6:00 (+500 American; 5/1 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 4.75 (+375; 15/4), while Bayern Munich to win odds are priced at 1.50 (-200; 1/2).
The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Hoffenheim — 16%, draw — 20%, Bayern Munich — 64%.
Latest betting odds on Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich (22 October 2022):
- Over 2.5 goals — 1.33 (-300; 1/3)
- Under 2.5 goals — 3.40 (+240; 12/5)
- Asian handicap (+1.0, +1.5) on Hoffenheim — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
- Asian handicap (-1.0, -1.5) on Bayern Munich — 2.00 (+100; evens)
- Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.44 (-225; 4/9)
- Both teams to score (No) — 2.60 (+160; 8/5)
Match preview and statistics
Hoffenheim are fourth in the league table with 17 points and a +7 goal difference. They have won their previous two matches. Die Kraichgauer beat Schalke 04 5-1 in their last game in the DFB Pokal - Round 2.
Munas Dabbur opened the scoring in the fifth minute with a shot from the centre of the box to the bottom corner, following the through ball from Ozan Kabak. Angelino doubled the lead in the 16th minute from outside the box into the bottom right corner.
Dabbur scored a brace in the 43rd minute with the shot from the right side of the box to the top right corner. Kabak got his goal in the 51st minute with the header into the top corner from close range. Pavel Kaderabek scored fifth for TSG in the 63rd minute. Dominick Drexler pulled one back for Schalke in the 69th minute.
Team statistics: 62% possession, 26 total shots, five big chances, 11 shots on target, 380 accurate passes, 84% pass accuracy, 11 fouls committed and 10 corners.
TSG won 3-nil in their last league game against the same opponent. Robert Skov scored a brace of penalties and Munas Dabbur netted one as well in the stroke of halftime.
Hoffenheim team news: Andrej Kramaric, Benjamin Hubner, Ermin Bicakcic, and Ihlas Bebou are sidelined due to injuries, while Kevin Vogt is suspended.
Bayern Munich are second in the league table with 19 points and a +22 goal difference. They have four wins and a draw in their previous five games. The Reds beat Augsburg 5-2 in the previous game in the DFB Pokal - Round 2.
Augsburg took the lead in the ninth minute as Valentin Pedersen fired the ball from outside the box into the net. Choupo-Moting pulled one back in the 27th minute following the cross from Serge Gnabry.
Joshua Kimmich put Bayern in front in the 53rd minute with a brilliant finish past the goalie. Choupo-Moting scored a brace in the 59th minute as he finished the ball after it deflected towards his path. Upamecano scored an own goal six minutes later and made it 3-2.
Jamal Musiala got on the scoresheet in the 74th minute, assisted by Alphonso Davies. Davies himself got a goal in the 90+1 minute. It was a comfortable win for the Bavarians. Team statistics: 66% possession, 2.09 expected goals, 16 total shots, four big chances, eight shots on target, 536 accurate passes, 88% pass accuracy, eight fouls committed and five corners.
In their last league game, Bayern beat Freiburg 5-nil. Serge Gnabry, Choupo-Moting, Leroy Sane, Sadio Mane and Marcel Sabitzer all scored in the win.
Bayern Munich team news: Bouna Sarr, Manuel Neuer, Leroy Sane and Lucas Hernandez are sidelined due to injuries.
Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich H2H
In the last five meetings, Hoffenheim have one win, Bayern have three wins and a draw. Both teams drew 1-1 in their last meeting.
Lineups and key players
Hoffenheim projected starting lineup:
- Oliver Baumann
- Ozan Kabak
- Kevin Akpoguma
- Kevin Akpoguma
- Robert Skov
- Dennis Geiger
- Grischa Promel
- Christoph Baumgartner
- Georginio Rutter
- Munas Dabbur
Munas Dabbur is the key player to watch out for. The centre-forward has scored four goals in the last three matches. Two goals were in their last match against Schalke 04. Dabbur should have his eyes for goal in this game.
Bayern Munich projected starting lineup:
- Sven Ulreich
- Benjamin Pavard
- Dayot Upamecano
- Matthijs de Ligt
- Alphonso Davies
- Leon Goretzka
- Joshua Kimmich
- Thomas Muller
- Jamal Musiala
- Serge Gnabry
- Sadio Mane
Thomas Muller is the key player to watch out for. He has four goal contributions in the last four matches, with two goals and two assists. Muller had an assist despite coming off the bench in the previous game against Augsburg.
Prediction and betting tips
The Bavarians keep moving in the right direction. They have five wins out of the last six games, and scored 25 goals in that same period. A win in this away game keeps them closer to the top spot. Hoffenheim have turned things around and won two back-to-back games ahead of this fixture.
The predictions for this match are BTTS (Yes) and over 2.5 goals, and Asian Handicap (+1.5) on Hoffenheim. You may be wondering why I decided to back the hosts. The last two home games against Bayern ended in a win and a draw for them. With their good form and home advantage, they have a little edge.
Betting prediction: Asian Handicap (+1.5) on Hoffenheim
Odds: 1.71 (-140 American; 5/7 Fractional)
Betting prediction: BTTS (Yes) and Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.61 (-164 American; 25/41 Fractional)