MLS Cup Final: LAFC vs Philadelphia prediction and betting tips (November 5)
The Los Angeles FC and Philadelphia clash in the Grand Finale of the 2022 season. This is the first time both teams will appear in the Finals. Who will win their first title at the final whistle?
Carlos Vela had a good match against Austin, created the most chances (5) and provided an assist
Carlos Vela had a good match against Austin, created the most chances (5) and provided an assist
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

Los Angeles FC face the Philadelphia Union in the MLS Cup final.

The match is scheduled to start at 4:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, 5 November 2022. The time by GMT is 8:00 p.m. on Saturday, November 5. The venue is Banc of California Stadium.

Latest odds on betting sites

Los Angeles FC to win odds are priced at 1.71 (-140 American; 5/7 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.80 (+280; 14/5), while Los Angeles FC to win odds are priced at 4.50 (+350; 7/2).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: LAFC β€” 52%, draw β€” 26%, Philadelphia β€” 22%.

Latest betting odds on LAFC vs Philadelphia (5 November 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals β€” 1.53 (-188; 25/47)
  • Under 2.5 goals β€” 2.40 (+140; 7/5)
  • Asian handicap (-0.5, -1.0) on LAFC β€” 1.95 (-105; 20/21)
  • Asian handicap (+0.5, +1.0) on Philadelphia β€” 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) β€” 1.53 (-188; 25/47)
  • Both teams to score (No) β€” 2.36 (+136; 34/25)

Match preview and statistics

The Los Angeles FC beat Austin FC in the Western Conference finals to advance to the final of the 2022 MLS Cup. This is huge for them as they reach their first final.

Cristian Arango opened the scoring in the 29th minute with a header from the centre of the box to the top left corner. Carlos Vela sent in the cross from a corner. It became 2-0 in the 62nd minute as Maximiliano scored an own goal.

Kwadwo Opoku sealed the win with the third goal in the 81st minute with a shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. This is a big chance for Giorgio Chiellini to lay in hand on the league title since joining the team over the summer. Team statistics: 51% possession, 2.14 expected goals, 22 total shots, 10 shots on target, three big chances, 317 accurate passes, 81% pass accuracy, 17 fouls committed, 11 corners and one yellow card.

LAFC team news: Ismael Tajouri-Shradi won’t be available for the final due to a leg injury.

Philadelphia Union defeated the defending champions in the Eastern Conference finals. This is going to be their first MLS final appearance. An opportunity for Jim Curtin’s men to win their first MLS Cup.

Maxi Moralez gave the Blues the lead in the 57th minute with a shot from outside the box to the bottom left corner. Santiago Rodriguez with the assist. Julian Carranza equalised in the 65th minute with a shot from the right side of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Jakob Glesnes following the set piece.

A minute later, Daniel Gazdag gave the Union their first game lead from close range to the roof of the net. Assisted by Carranza with the headed pass. Cory Burke made it 3-1 in the 76th minute with a left footed shot from the centre of the box to the top left corner.

Team statistics: 35% possession, 1.67 expected goals, 10 total shots, six shots on target, three big chances, 212 accurate passes, 69% pass accuracy, 19 fouls committed, three corners and two yellow cards.

Philadelphia team news: No player is injured or suspended.

LAFC vs Philadelphia H2H

Both teams have drawn three straight matches. They drew 2-2 in the last meeting.

Lineups and key players

LAFC projected starting lineup:

  • Maxime Crepeau
  • Ryan Hollingshead
  • Sebastien Ibeagha
  • Jesus Murillo
  • Diego Palacios
  • Jose Cifuentes
  • Ilie Sanchez
  • Kellyn Acosta
  • Carlos Vela
  • Cristian Arango
  • Denis Bouanga

Carlos Vela is the key player to watch out for. He had a good match against Austin, created the most chances (5) and provided an assist to the game opener. Vela assisted a goal in the semis against LA Galaxy. You can bank on him to have a goal contribution.

Philadelphia Union projected starting lineup:

  • Andre Blake
  • Olivier Mbaizo
  • Jakob Glesnes
  • Jack Elliott
  • Kai Wagner
  • Jose Andres Martinez
  • Alejandro Bedoya
  • Leon Flach
  • Daniel Gazdag
  • Mikael Uhre
  • Julian Carranza

Julian Carranza is the key player to watch out for. He had a top performance against New York City FC, scored the equaliser and assisted a goal. Expect another top game from the forward in the finals.

Prediction and betting tips

Both teams are in good form ahead of their meeting. LA Galaxy gave LAFC tough times in the semis, but they pulled through. In the Conference finals, they comfortably beat Austin 3-0. Philadelphia also had a little struggle against Cincinnati in the Semis. The goal in the second half did it for them. The Union came back from 0-1 down to beat New York 3-1 in the Conference finals

They are levelled from the h2h analysis, with three consecutive draws. The predictions for this match are LAFC to win, and over 2.3 goals. They have scored lots of goals in their previous matches, and also in the h2 games. Expecting both sides to put up a strong fight.

Betting prediction: Los Angeles FC to win

Odds: 1.71 (-140 American; 5/7 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 2.36 (+136 American; 34/25 Fractional)

LAFC β€” Philadelphia
Won
Over 2.5 goals
2.36
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