Nations League 2022-23: Germany vs Italy prediction and betting tips (June 14)
Germany has picked up three consecutive draws. They are yet to win a game in this tournament. A win for Die Mannschaft would see them go top. Meanwhile, Italy would be eager to extend their lead.
Manuel Neuer has made 12 saves in the UEFA Nations League this season
Manuel Neuer has made 12 saves in the UEFA Nations League this season
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

Germany and Italy meet in the fourth group game of the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League.

The match is scheduled to start at 6:45 p.m. on Tuesday, 14 June 2022. The match venue is Borussia-Park, Germany.

Latest betting odds

Germany to win odds are priced at 1.80 (-125 American; 4/5 Fractional), the odds for a draw are valued at 3.75 (+275; 11/4), while Italy to win odds are priced at 5.00 (+400; 4/1 Fractional).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Germanyβ€” 55%, Draw β€” 27%, Italy β€” 18%.

Latest betting odds on Germany vs Italy (14 June 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals β€” 2.05 (+105; 21/20)
  • Under 2.5 goals β€” 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Asian handicap (-0.75) on Germany β€” 2.15 (+115; 23/20)
  • Asian handicap (+0.75) on Italy β€” 1.83 (-120; 5/6)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) β€” 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
  • Both teams to score (No) β€” 1.80 (-125; 4/5)

Match preview and statistics

Germany were held to another draw in their last game vs Hungary. The German Machines began their nations league campaign with a draw against Italy. Lorenzo Pellegrini put the Azzurri ahead at the 70th-minute mark. Assisted by Wilfried Gnonto.

Three minutes later, Germany grabbed a vital equaliser through Joshua Kimmich. Both teams were forced to share the spoils in a 1-1 draw. In their second game against England, Dieter-Hansi Flick’s team took the lead 50 minutes into the game. Jonas Hofmann broke the deadlock. Assisted by Joshua Kimmich.

The 2014 World Cup winners had to settle for a point. VAR awarded England a penalty after Nico Schlotterbeck's foul on Harry Kane. The Tottenham Hotspur forward converted the penalty to make it 1-1. Earning England their second point in the group stage.

Germany were much better in the first five minutes against Hungary. However, a rebound shot from Zsolt Nagy put the Germans behind after six minutes. They responded quickly through an equaliser from Jonas Hoffmann. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

Team statistics: 67% possession, six total shots, zero big chance, one shot on target, 555 accurate passes, 88% pass accuracy, thirteen fouls committed, six corners and one yellow card.

Germany team news: Marco Reus and Timo Werner are missing through injuries.

Italy are top of Group 3A after three games. The Italians began their campaign with a 1-1 draw at home to Germany. They picked up their first win in the group against Hungary. First-half goals from Nicolo Barella and Lorenzo Pellegrini put the Italians 2-0 up at halftime.

Gianluca Mancini's own goal wasn't enough to deny the Azzurri their first win. Roberto Mancini's team recorded their second draw in the group stages against England. Italy had a fair amount of chances in the first half.

They were denied by spectacular saves from Aaron Ramsdale. The game ended 0-0, with neither side able to find a breakthrough. However, with five points from the first three games, Italy are in a good position ahead of the knockouts.

Team statistics: 41% possession, eight total shots, two big chances, three shots on target, 358 accurate passes, 83% pass accuracy, twelve fouls committed, two corners and three yellow cards.

Italy team news: No player is injured or suspended for this clash.

Germany vs Italy H2H

Five of the last seven meetings between these teams have ended in a draw. With one win apiece for both teams. They met recently in the first leg of this tournament. The game ended in a 1-1 draw. Joshua Kimmich cancelled out Lorenzo Pellegrini's opener.

Key players and lineups

Germany projected starting lineup:

  • Manuel Neuer
  • Lukas Klostermann
  • Antonio Rudiger
  • Nico Schlotterbeck
  • Jonas Hofmann
  • Ilkay Gundogan
  • Joshua Kimmich
  • David Raum
  • Thomas Muller
  • Jamal Musiala
  • Kai Havertz

Manuel Neuer is a key player to watch out for in this fixture. He has made 12 saves in this tournament. Averaging four saves per game. He was vital in the 1-1 draw against Italy.

Italy projected starting lineup:

  • Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • Di Lorenzo
  • Alessandro Bastoni
  • Francesco Acerbi
  • Alessandro Florenzi
  • Sandro Tonali
  • Bryan Christante
  • Nicolo Barella
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • Gianluca Scamacca
  • Matteo Politano

A key player to watch out for in this fixture is Lorenzo Pellegrini. The Roma midfielder has two goals in three appearances for the national team. He is the top-rated player for Italy in this competition.

Betting tips and prediction

This fixture promises to be a close encounter like the first leg. Both teams are going to be very cautious. Only two points separate these two teams. Both of them are yet to taste defeat in this competition. The Germans have gone 12 games without a loss.

The Azzurri are also in good away form. Italy are on a run of 15 away games without a loss. More than 70% of the meetings between Germany and Italy ended in a draw. Considering the strength and recent performances of these teams, a draw is the most likely outcome in this fixture.

Both teams aren't in great goalscoring form. The last five matches involving Germany have ended with two goals or less. The first leg between these teams ended with two goals. The Azzurri played out a goalless draw in the last game against England.

Betting prediction: Draw

Odds: 3.75 (+275 American; 11/4 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Nations League. Group stage. Round 4
Germany β€” Italy
Under 2.5 goals
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