UCL 2022-23: Chelsea vs Milan prediction and betting tips (October 5)
Chelsea played a 1-1 draw against Salzburg in their last Champions League game. Will they get a win over Milan in their next Champions League game?
Rafael Leao  scored a late-minute goal in their 3-1 win over Empoli
Rafael Leao scored a late-minute goal in their 3-1 win over Empoli
by Dipo Lukman Dipo Lukman

Chelsea will host Milan in the Round 3 of the UEFA Champions League.

The match will start at 7 p.m. GMT on Wednesday, 5 October 2022. The match venue is Stamford Bridge, London.

Latest odds on betting sites

Chelsea have their winning odds placed at 2.00 (+100 American; 1/1 Fractional). Milan are the favourites and have their winning odds placed at 5.20 (+420; 26/5). The betting odds for a draw are placed at 4.00 (+3000; 3/1).

The chances of the outcome are as follows: Chelsea — 57%, draw —24 %, Milan— 19%.

Latest betting odds on Chelsea vs Milan (5 October 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Asian handicap (-1.25) on Chelsea — 2.76 (+176; 44/25)
  • Asian handicap (+1.25) on Milan — 1.48 (-208; 12/25)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)

Match preview and statistics

Chelsea played a 1-1 draw against Salzburg in their last Champions League game as they are yet to win a game in the competition. Raheem Sterling opened the scoreline in the 48th minute as he curled the ball into the net. Noah Okafor levelled the scoreline in the 74th minute as he slotted the ball into the net.

Chelsea had 72% ball possession and completed 543 passes. The Blues created one big chance. Chelsea had 17 shots with four being on target. They had an expected goal of 1.18 compared to Salzburg’s expected goal of 0.37. Chelsea are bottom of the group with one point. They have scored a goal while conceding two goals with a difference of -1.

Chelsea got a 2-1 win over Crystal Palace in their last league game. Odsonne Edouard opened the scoreline in the seventh minute with a clinical finish into the net. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang levelled the scoreline in the 38th minute with a nice finish into the net. Conor Gallagher scored the winning goal in the 90th minute with a thunderous strike into the corner.

Chelsea had 64% ball possession and completed 559 passes. The Blues created one big chance. Chelsea had 13 shots with three being on target. They had an expected goal of 1.14 compared to Crystal Palace’s expected goal of 0.44.

Chelsea are fifth in the Premier League table with 13 points. The Blues have scored 10 goals while conceding 10 goals with a difference of zero.

Chelsea team news: N’golo Kante is out of the game with a knee injury. Mendy is a doubt for the game. Chukwuemeka is out with illness. Jorginho is a doubt with a knock.

AC Milan smashed Dinamo Zagreb by three goals to one in their last Champions League game. Milan were awarded a penalty in the 43rd minute when Leao was brought down in the box. Giroud converted the penalty as he made it 1-0. Alexis Saelemaekers doubled their lead in the 47th minute with a nice header into the net. Mislav Orsic pulled one back in the 56th minute with a curling finish into the bottom corner. Tommaso Pobega made it 3-1 in the 77th minute as he fired a shot into the net.

Milan had 57% ball possession and completed 462 passes. They created three big chances. They had 17 shots with seven being on target. Milan are top of the group with four points. They have scored four goals while conceding two goals with a difference of +2.

Milan got a 3-1 win over Empoli in their last league game. Ante Rebic opened the scoreline in the 79th minute with a tap-in from close range. Nedim Bajrami levelled the scoreline in the 92nd minute as he converted a free kick with a top-class finish from outside into the net. Fode Ballo made it 2-1 in the 93rd minute with a fantastic finish into the net. Rafael Leao made it 3-1 in the 96th minute as he chipped the goalkeeper.

Milan are fourth in the league with 17 points. They have won five games and drawn two games and suffered one defeat. Milan have scored 16 goals while conceding nine goals with a difference of +7.

Milan team news: Zlatan Ibrahimovic is out with a knee injury. Theo Hernandez is out with a groyne injury. Simon Kjaer is unavailable due to a hamstring injury. Mike Maignan is out with a calf injury. Junior Messias is unavailable due to a calf injury. Davide Calabria is out with a hamstring injury. Alexis Saelemaekers is unavailable due to a knee injury. Alessandro Florenzi is out with a hamstring injury.

Chelsea vs Milan H2H

Chelsea have won two of the last two games between both sides.

Lineups and key players

Chelsea projected starting lineup:

  • Edouard Mendy
  • Marc Cucurella
  • Cesar Azpilicueta
  • Thiago Silva
  • Ben Chilwell
  • Reece James
  • Jorginho
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • Armando Broja
  • Mason Mount
  • Raheem Sterling

Notable subs: Kai Havertz

Raheem Sterling has been decent for Chelsea this season. He scored a goal in their 1-1 draw against Salzburg in the Champions League. The England international has scored three goals in the Premier League, overperforming his expected goals of 2.60. Sterling has provided one assist while creating 11 chances.

Milan projected starting lineup:

  • Ciprian Tatarusanu
  • Fode Ballo
  • Pierre Kalulu
  • Fikayo Tomori
  • Davide Calabria
  • Ismael Bennacer
  • Sandro Tonali
  • Charles De Ketelaere
  • Rade Krunic
  • Rafael Leao
  • Olivier Giroud

Notable subs: Sergino Dest

Rafael Leao has been great this season. He scored a late-minute goal in their 3-1 win over Empoli. The Portuguese international has provided two assists in the Champions League this season while creating three chances

Prediction and betting tips

Chelsea have been in poor form for a while as they struggled in their Champions League game. The blues suffered a defeat to Dinamo in their first Champions League game. Thomas Tuchel was sacked as Graham Potter took over as the blues drew their first game under him against Salzburg. Milan have been brilliant this season with just one loss this season in the league. Milan are currently top of their Champions League group with four points. Chelsea have scored a goal in four of their last five games in all competitions. Milan have scored a goal in five of their last five games in all competitions. I predict both teams will score.

Milan have scored the most goals in their group with four goals. They have also scored the third most goals in their league. Four of their last four games have ended in over 2.5 goals. Three of the last five Chelsea games have ended in over 2.5 goals. They are both good in front of a goal and both teams will be looking to get a goal. I predict over 2.5 goals.

Betting prediction: Both teams to score.

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 3
Chelsea — Milan
Won
Over 2.5 goals
1.91
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