UCL 2022-23: Liverpool vs Ajax prediction and betting tips (September 13)
Liverpool suffered a 1-4 defeat to Napoli in their last Champions League game. Will the Reds bounce back with a win against Ajax?
Luis Diaz scored a wonderful goal in their 1-4 defeat to Napoli.
Luis Diaz scored a wonderful goal in their 1-4 defeat to Napoli.
by Dipo Lukman Dipo Lukman

Liverpool will host Ajax in Round 2 of the UEFA Champions League.

The match will start at 7 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, 13 September 2022. The match venue is Anfield, Liverpool.

Latest odds on betting sites

Liverpool have their winning odds placed at 1.65 (-154 American; 13/20 Fractional). Ajax, on the other hand, have their winning odds placed at 6.00 (+500; 5/1). The betting odds for a draw are placed at 5.00 (+400; 4/1).

The chances of the outcomes are as follows: Liverpool — 64%, draw — 19%, Ajax — 17%.

Latest betting odds on Liverpool vs Ajax (13 September 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.65 (-154; 13/20)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.45 (+145; 29/20)
  • Asian handicap (-0.25) on Liverpool — 2.46 (+146; 73/50)
  • Asian handicap (+0.25) on Ajax — 1.54 (-185; 27/50)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.60 (-167; 3/5)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.30 (+130; 13/10)

Match preview and statistics

Liverpool suffered a 1-4 defeat to Napoli in their last league game. Napoli were awarded a penalty in the fifth minute as the ball hit Milner’s arm in the box. Zielinski made it 1-0 from the spot as he fired the ball into the top left corner. Napoli were awarded another penalty in the 18th minute but were saved as Alisson pushed the ball away.

Anguissa doubled their lead in the 31st minute with a nice finish into the near post. Simeone scored the third goal of the night in the 44th minute with a tap-in from close range. Zielinski scored his second goal of the game as finished the rebound into the net. Luis Diaz pulled one back in the 49th minute with a superb curling effort into the far corner from 20 yards.

Liverpool had 61% ball possession and completed 514 passes. The Reds created one big chance. Liverpool had 15 shots with seven being on target. The Reds had an expected goal of 1.00 compared to Napoli’s expected goal of 4.10. Liverpool are third in the group with zero points. They have scored one goal while conceding four goals with a difference of -3.

The Reds played a 0-0 draw against Everton in their last league game. Liverpool are seventh in the Premier League table with nine points. The Reds have scored 15 goals in the league while conceding six goals with a goal difference of +9. Liverpool have won two games, drew three and suffered one defeat.

Liverpool team news: Thiago is out of the game with a hamstring injury. Oxlade Chamberlain is unavailable due to a hamstring injury. Jones is a doubt with a calf injury. Jota is out with a thigh injury. Konate is out with a knee injury. Matip is a doubt with a groyne injury. Keita is out with a muscle injury. Calvin Ramsey is unavailable due to a back injury.

Ajax smashed Rangers by four goals to nil in their last Champions League game. Edson Alvarez opened the scoreline in the 17th minute with a nice header into the bottom corner. Steven Berghuis doubled their lead in the 32nd minute with a low shot into the bottom corner. Mohammed Kudus made it 3-0 in the 33rd minute with a nice shot into the far corner. Steven Bergwijn scored the last goal of the game in the 80th minute as he slotted the ball into the net.

Ajax had 75% ball possession and completed 744 passes. They had 17 shots with nine being on target. Ajax created four big chances in the game. They had an expected goal of 2.08 compared to Rangers’ expected goal of 0.12. Ajax are top of the group with three points. They have scored four goals while conceding zero goals with a difference of +4.

Ajax smashed SC Heerenveen by five goals to nil in their last league game. Davy Klassen opened the scoreline in the fourth minute with a nice header from very close range to the centre of the goal. Kenneth Taylor doubled their lead in the 16th minute with a left-footed shot from outside the box to the bottom left corner.

Mohammed Kudus made it 3-0 in the 48th minute with a left-footed shot from very close range to the centre of the goal. He scored the fourth goal of the game with a right-footed shot from close range to the centre of the box. Brian Brobbey made it 5-0 in the 70th minute with a right-footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal.

Ajax are top of the table with 18 points. They have won all six games as they remain unbeaten in the group. Ajax have scored 21 goals while conceding three goals with a difference of +18.

Ajax team news: Owen Wijndal is out with an injury.

Liverpool vs Ajax H2H

Liverpool have won two of the last two games between both sides

Lineups and key players

Liverpool projected starting lineup:

  • Alisson Becker
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold
  • Joseph Gomez
  • Virgil van Dijk
  • Andrew Robertson
  • James Milner
  • Fabinho
  • Harvey Elliott
  • Luis Diaz
  • Roberto Firmino
  • Mohamed Salah

Notable subs: Tyler Morton, Diogo Jota, Divock Origi, Ibrahima Konate.

Luis Diaz scored a wonderful goal in their 1-4 defeat to Napoli. The Colombian international has been Liverpool’s best player this season. Diaz has scored three goals in the league, overperforming his expected goals of 1.74. He has created four chances in the league.

Ajax projected starting lineup:

  • Remko Pasveer
  • Devyne Rensch
  • Jorge Sanchez
  • Calvin Bassey
  • Daley Blind
  • Davy Klaassen
  • Steven Berghuis
  • Mohammed Kudus
  • Steven Bergwijn
  • Dusan Tadic
  • Lucas Ocampos

Notable subs: Jorge Sanchez

Mohammed Kudus scored a wonderful goal in their 4-0 victory over the Rangers. The Ghanaian international also provided an assist while creating one chance in the game. Kudus scored two goals in their 5-0 victory over SC Heerenveen in their last league game. He has scored three goals in the league while creating one chance.

Prediction and betting tips

Ajax are in very good form as they smashed Rangers by four goals to nil in their last Champions League game. They are unbeaten in the league this season with six wins in six games. Liverpool are currently not in form as they have suffered a defeat to Napoli in their last Champions League game. Ajax are currently in form as they are unbeaten in all competitions this season. I predict no bet on Ajax.

Ajax have scored a goal in five of their last five games in all competitions. Liverpool have scored a goal in four of their last five games. Both teams are very dangerous in front of the goal. Ajax have scored 21 goals in the league while Liverpool have scored 15 goals in the league. I predict both teams will score.

Betting prediction: Draw no bet on Ajax

Odds: 4.00 (+300 American; 3/1 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Both teams to score

Odds: 1.60 (-167 American; 3/5 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 2
Liverpool — Ajax
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Draw no bet on Ajax
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